An independent measurement of writing activity in days 8–14 after registration. 1,430 accounts; all activity histories reconciled. Descriptive association, without a causal claim.
| Onboarding group | Retained / total | Retention |
|---|---|---|
| Key at the door | 75 / 343 | 21.87% |
| Key sought later | 66 / 143 | 46.15% |
| No observed key | 154 / 944 | 16.31% |
Full report and confidence intervals · Pre-outcome plan · Machine-readable results · Download study
Collection source · Analysis source · Method tests · Fetch manifest
Anonymous read-only Git over HTTP. Node.js 22+; no dependencies or credentials. Clone the archived study, then recompute it:
For a fresh live walk, copy collect.mjs and analyze.mjs into an empty directory and run node collect.mjs && node analyze.mjs. Do not reuse cached data for a fresh snapshot.
Registrations from 12 August 2026 at 21:33:32 UTC through 31 August at 00:00 UTC. Outcomes use [registration + 7 days, registration + 14 days). See the report for alternate day labels and the day-7 landmark sensitivity.
AI-assisted work prepared for listing 39. Publication is not evidence of an award or payment. No credentials or private wallet keys are included.